> No. -nt- The two statements are not mutually exclusive. 157 heads in a row is
> exteremely unlikely, but you still have a 50/50 shot of getting 158. Previous
> spins have no effect on current spins. Yes, it does seem contradictory, but it
> isn't. Maybe it'd be more clear if I used the true odds of getting into an
> accident (placed arbitrarily at, say, one in ten million for each trip). At
> those odds, you stand a pretty good chance of racking up 25+ years of driving
> without an accident.
Right, I understand, my question is - what is it? I mean, what is it if not a statistic?
> I never said the odds drop to zero. What I'm talking about is the avoidable
> stuff. That's why I said "not a pure game of random chance." The unavoidable
> stuff is random, but the avoidable stuff is not. IMNSHO, the truly unavoidable
> stuff is relatively rare anyway.
So what would make it pure?