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SubjectRe: doesn't matter Reply to this message
Posted byChachiSqrPants
Posted on01/04/05 02:06 PM

> No. -nt- The two statements are not mutually exclusive. 157 heads in a row is
> exteremely unlikely, but you still have a 50/50 shot of getting 158. Previous
> spins have no effect on current spins. Yes, it does seem contradictory, but it
> isn't. Maybe it'd be more clear if I used the true odds of getting into an
> accident (placed arbitrarily at, say, one in ten million for each trip). At
> those odds, you stand a pretty good chance of racking up 25+ years of driving
> without an accident.

Right, I understand, my question is - what is it? I mean, what is it if not a statistic?

> I never said the odds drop to zero. What I'm talking about is the avoidable
> stuff. That's why I said "not a pure game of random chance." The unavoidable
> stuff is random, but the avoidable stuff is not. IMNSHO, the truly unavoidable
> stuff is relatively rare anyway.

So what would make it pure?


Entire Thread
Subject  Posted byPosted On
*Anyone rent from Blockbuster?  Eon_Blue01/04/05 00:29 AM
.*How is that different from car insurance  itchyNADZ01/04/05 03:22 AM
..*Anyone can get in an accident  ChachiSqrPants01/04/05 05:26 AM
...*I don't get in accidents  itchyNADZ01/04/05 05:30 AM
....*doesn't matter  ChachiSqrPants01/04/05 05:48 AM
.....*Re: doesn't matter  wildcat01/04/05 06:04 AM
......*Re: doesn't matter  ChachiSqrPants01/04/05 06:08 AM
.......*Re: doesn't matter  wildcat01/04/05 06:42 AM
.........Re: doesn't matter  ChachiSqrPants01/04/05 02:06 PM
.........*THERE ARE FOUR LIGHTS *nt*  wildcat01/05/05 03:12 AM
....*Uh-huh *nt*  wildcat01/04/05 05:41 AM
..*Re: How is that different from car insurance  wildcat01/04/05 04:21 AM
.*No, too expensive  Halcyon01/04/05 02:23 AM
.*With the likes of Netflix and such, all such places will soon die nt UNF  Evildrak01/04/05 01:23 AM
.*Re: Anyone rent from Blockbuster?  Pinto Bravo01/04/05 01:07 AM