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> > No. -nt- The two statements are not mutually exclusive. 157 heads in a row > is > > exteremely unlikely, but you still have a 50/50 shot of getting 158. Previous > > spins have no effect on current spins. Yes, it does seem contradictory, but > it > > isn't. Maybe it'd be more clear if I used the true odds of getting into an > > accident (placed arbitrarily at, say, one in ten million for each trip). At > > those odds, you stand a pretty good chance of racking up 25+ years of driving > > without an accident. > > > Right, I understand, my question is - what is it? I mean, what is it if not a > statistic? > > > > I never said the odds drop to zero. What I'm talking about is the avoidable > > stuff. That's why I said "not a pure game of random chance." The unavoidable > > stuff is random, but the avoidable stuff is not. IMNSHO, the truly > unavoidable > > stuff is relatively rare anyway. > > So what would make it pure? > > CSP >
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