> > No. -nt- The two statements are not mutually exclusive. 157 heads in a row
> > exteremely unlikely, but you still have a 50/50 shot of getting 158. Previous
> > spins have no effect on current spins. Yes, it does seem contradictory, but
> > isn't. Maybe it'd be more clear if I used the true odds of getting into an
> > accident (placed arbitrarily at, say, one in ten million for each trip). At
> > those odds, you stand a pretty good chance of racking up 25+ years of driving
> > without an accident.
> Right, I understand, my question is - what is it? I mean, what is it if not a
> > I never said the odds drop to zero. What I'm talking about is the avoidable
> > stuff. That's why I said "not a pure game of random chance." The unavoidable
> > stuff is random, but the avoidable stuff is not. IMNSHO, the truly
> > stuff is relatively rare anyway.
> So what would make it pure?